Kurva imbal hasil terbalik hari ini
Selisih tenor 10Y−2Y per 2026-09-28
3 dari 868 kurva imbal hasil obligasi terbalik hari ini — imbal hasil estimasi tenor 10 tahun berada di bawah tenor 2 tahun — per 2026-09-28. Inversi terdalam: USD Corporate Metals & Mining Canada sebesar -14 bp.
Selisih dihitung dari titik estimasi 2 tahun dan 10 tahun tiap kurva pada tanggal pembaruan terakhirnya; hanya kurva yang dibangun ulang dalam 7 hari terakhir yang dihitung. Selisih negatif — imbal hasil pendek di atas yang panjang — adalah sinyal resesi klasik yang diamati pada acuan pemerintah; pada segmen sektor dan penerbit, hal itu lebih sering menandakan tekanan kredit jangka pendek yang sudah masuk ke harga.
Acuan pemerintah
| Kurva | 2Y | 10Y | 10Y − 2Y | Δ 1 bln | Tren 6 bln | Obligasi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RON Government | 7.44% | 7.57% | +12 bp | -7 bp | 73 | |
| USD Government | 4.86% | 5.12% | +26 bp | -11 bp | 1073 | |
| US Treasury | 4.86% | 5.12% | +26 bp | -11 bp | 353 | |
| USD Government Domestic | 4.86% | 5.12% | +26 bp | -12 bp | 353 | |
| HKD Government | 3.70% | 4.04% | +34 bp | -20 bp | 31 | |
| German Bund | 3.22% | 3.63% | +41 bp | -6 bp | 87 | |
| AUD Government | 4.94% | 5.39% | +45 bp | +3 bp | 33 | |
| Australian Government Bond (ACGB) | 4.94% | 5.39% | +45 bp | +3 bp | 30 | |
| CNY Government | 1.39% | 1.87% | +48 bp | -1 bp | 44 | |
| China Government Bond (CGB) | 1.39% | 1.87% | +48 bp | -1 bp | 29 | |
| CAD Government | 3.37% | 3.98% | +60 bp | -13 bp | 55 | |
| Government of Canada Bond | 3.37% | 3.98% | +60 bp | -13 bp | 55 | |
| GBP Government | 4.73% | 5.38% | +65 bp | -17 bp | 72 | |
| UK Gilt | 4.73% | 5.38% | +65 bp | -17 bp | 71 | |
| Spanish Bono | 3.35% | 4.06% | +71 bp | -10 bp | 63 | |
| EUR Government Domestic | 3.40% | 4.17% | +77 bp | -9 bp | 683 | |
| INR Government | 6.25% | 7.08% | +83 bp | +21 bp | 72 | |
| Indian Government Security (G-Sec) | 6.25% | 7.08% | +83 bp | +21 bp | 72 | |
| Italian BTP | 3.55% | 4.53% | +98 bp | -3 bp | 120 | |
| Türkiye USD Sovereign Bond | 6.68% | 7.68% | +100 bp | -16 bp | 31 | |
| EUR Government | 3.32% | 4.41% | +109 bp | +11 bp | 928 | |
| USD Government Foreign | 5.22% | 6.33% | +111 bp | +16 bp | 720 | |
| Indonesia USD Sovereign Bond | 4.94% | 6.07% | +113 bp | +4 bp | 63 | |
| French OAT | 3.53% | 4.67% | +114 bp | +7 bp | 68 | |
| JPY Government | 1.92% | 3.08% | +116 bp | -6 bp | 302 | |
| Japanese Government Bond (JGB) | 1.92% | 3.08% | +116 bp | -6 bp | 302 | |
| EUR Government Foreign | 3.92% | 5.35% | +143 bp | +1 bp | 245 |
Terbalik hari ini
| Kurva | 2Y | 10Y | 10Y − 2Y | Δ 1 bln | Tren 6 bln | Obligasi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Corporate Metals & Mining Canada | 6.71% | 6.57% | -14 bp | +17 bp | 38 | |
| USD Corporate Metals & Mining Canada Callable | 6.71% | 6.58% | -12 bp | +40 bp | 37 | |
| CNY Corporate China | 2.31% | 2.26% | -5 bp | — | 68 |
Mendekati inversi (10Y−2Y di bawah 25 bp)
| Kurva | 2Y | 10Y | 10Y − 2Y | Δ 1 bln | Tren 6 bln | Obligasi |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD Corporate Luxembourg | 6.66% | 6.67% | +1 bp | — | 113 | |
| USD Corporate Oil & Gas Argentina Callable | 7.70% | 7.72% | +2 bp | — | 36 | |
| NOK Corporate | 5.27% | 5.31% | +4 bp | +4 bp | 32 | |
| USD Corporate Oil & Gas Argentina | 7.67% | 7.71% | +4 bp | — | 37 | |
| EUR Corporate Asset Managers | 4.04% | 4.14% | +10 bp | +4 bp | 41 | |
| RON Government | 7.44% | 7.57% | +12 bp | -7 bp | 73 | |
| CNY Corporate Non-Callable | 2.16% | 2.34% | +18 bp | — | 96 | |
| CNY Corporate China Non-Callable | 2.27% | 2.48% | +20 bp | — | 62 | |
| USD Corporate A+–BBB- (Investment Grade) Asset Managers Callable | 6.08% | 6.31% | +23 bp | -19 bp | 181 | |
| CNY Corporate | 2.17% | 2.42% | +24 bp | -18 bp | 111 |